I Hate This Game! (NBA Preview part II)
Ok so I really don’t hate this game. However I wanted to touch upon the touchy subject that is the recent uproar (but now a quiet meow) concerning the NBA referee betting scandal. Keep in mind that my opinions are unsubstantiated, my facts skewed, and my insight totally biased. Actually from what I have read, it boils down to a man who made $260,000 a year at a job that pays $80,000 entry-level, wanting a bit more money in terms of $5,000 per game from the mob. Assuming for a minute that he didn’t need the money (260k a year!??! just to make a few thousand dollars at the risk of his 6 figure salary), and assuming he was not bullied/threatened into assisting his cohorts, Donaghy probably likes the action. However if it were simple as that, he would just bet on the games himself through a close friend or family member and keep the risk of his job at a minimal, no need to go through so many middle-men and shady constituents.
Nevertheless, because we do not know how such a scheme started, it has ballooned into a very serious story with lasting repercussions. The integrity of the league is at stake. The legitimacy of outcomes of games will endlessly be questioned by gamblers all over, and ultimately, the image of the NBA is effectively tarnished. A league already facing image problems brought on by opponents of the me-first, hip-hop culture, and arrogant-above-the-law-outside-the-court drama is now reeling from its most compelling story yet.
Even with all of that in my personal opinion, though very serious and laced with controversy, this scandal should be and needs to be nothing more than the professional execution of a bad apple (as Stern so aptly referred when the story first broke out over the summer). My stance is this, through personal experience and a lot of viewing of NBA games, it is very possible but also pointless if a ref could alter the ending of a game. When you are dealing with spreads, and totals, only people with bets on the game would care about the conclusion of a game to the exact detail. For example, when the San Antonio Spurs played the Dallas Mavericks last year, the Mavericks were favored by 4. That means a line of -4 comes into play if Dallas wins by more than 4. If they win by 4 its a tie, if they lose the game, or win by less than 4, that bet loses. Now the opposite applies, if the Spurs win, or they lose by less than 4, the bet cashes. Now that sportsbetting 101 is over, the point is, the Mavericks in that game last year ended up winning by 5, covering the number. In spite of what the above link says, my personal opinion is that it would be very arrogant, and dangerous for a ref to purposely alter a game for a few thousand compared to the high-end salary they receive for a fairly enjoyable job even with all the pitfalls of pressure. And since that pressure is constant, why would they need to risk it more? The only answer can be action. In addition, investigations have uncovered the fact that Donaghy would receive payment IF he was right, and nothing IF he was wrong. That revelation does not bespeak or support the notion of a ref fixing a game especially IF there are a bunch of IFs involved as variables for him to even receive payment. Wouldn’t it stand to make sense that IF he could alter a game’s outcome outright so easily, there would not be any need for qualifiers for him to receive his reward? Instead through preliminary proceedings, Donaghy has only admitted to providing inside info and advice for which game to bet on. At face-value, he has yet admitted to actually fixing games (at presstime).
Playing devil’s advocate however, and assuming this one man was egotistic enough to try something funny intentionally, he would have to hide it well, and so he has so far until he was caught. Through this line of thought I would have to believe the extent of his tampering would only construe tampering with the total or the spread. Going back to my Spurs/Mavericks example, the Spurs lost to the Mavs late last year 86-91. To the public eye, on the surface it just means the Spurs lost in a very important game that would decide the division winner, and playoff seedings. However to Vegas (and her gambling citizens), it means the Mavericks covered that -4 spread. I think the extent of Donaghy’s power to screw with a game only deals with obscure numbers like this that remain in the shadows of sportsbooks and away from the public eye.
Another reason I do not think the legitimacy of the league was that tarnished lies with playoff games being played in series of 7 instead of single elimination. Imagine if the NBA playoffs were formatted in single elimination like the NFL or NCAA March Madness, the outcry over this scandal would be more substantial with proof of a ref needling around a single game for petty monetary gain. In a 7 game series, the best team will win, and in defining fashion. In the rarity of an even match-up that goes a full 7 games, the unpredictable drama only adds to the overall entertainment value. And in the case of a huge favorite choking in the 1st round (sorry Mavs fans), this only credits to the underdogs for being able to topple a top contender winning 4 games. No ref could have single handely alter a series in 4 games. Under such intense scrutiny right in the light of the national stage, it would be ridiculous to think anyone would risk their job, and possible jail time only to “fix” a game. I take that back. With addiction, anything is possible, but I stand by “only to fix a game”. The key here is one game, not a 6 game series like the one that took 4 wins for the Golden State Warriors to upend the tail-tucked Mavericks. There is always a human-element in all of sports-officiating, so this naturally lends to human error when referees will undoubtedly make mistakes in any given game. With enough on their plates to worry about from their own league office, and scrutinizing media outlets as well as degenerate gamblers everywhere, it would be folly to think this goes further than Tim Donaghy. Then again we all have been fooled this far. 
To sum up, I believe referees can certainly influence the outcome of a game. However to influence the spread of one game is plausible, but to intentionally alter the winner is still something very doubtful in my opinion due to the backlash and the fact that all games are monitored by varying league officials. Maybe a few games here and there slip between the cracks (in terms of spread winner, not straight up winner), but the outright tampering of a single game (straight up winners) is at best an assumption. The outright tampering of a series would be blasphemy and certainly would cast a doubt on any sort of legitimacy the NBA has left before we start categorizing them with the WWE in terms of “sports”.
Well enough monkey business, on to the NBA Season Preview and my BOLD predictions: (summarized since I took up space for this scandal)
1) Boston’s teetering on the edge of a karma collapse, now that the Red Sox won the World Series again, the Patriots are 8-0, and the Celtics garnered a lot of attention for getting Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen alongside mainstay Paul Pierce. Just wait for it, what goes up must come down. For years we’ve heard the whining from Red Sox Nation, now we have to hear about the smug-ass Patriots, and the Celtics too? Will the universe collapse if all three major sports teams win their respective sports championships? It won’t happen because:
a) the Patriots will meet the Cowboys again in Super Bowl XLII, where the Cowboys will win because they will actually run the ball more, and their 2ndary won’t have that deer-in-headlights-let-Wes-Welker-roam-freely-in-the-2ndary-look in their eyes.
b) the Celtics don’t have a good PG unless Rajon Rondo all of a sudden develops a reliabe jumpshot, and does more than steal the ball. Allen will be hurt, Garnett will do all he can, and Pierce will be gassed by the time they lose to a deep and young Bulls team, who will make a deadline trade to acquire a post player with some semblance of an inside game.
c) The Red Sox in an effort to get younger will FINALLY trade Manny Ramirez to another team, and the curse of Manny will plague the Sox for the next millenia! Maybe my blog will still be around as a time capsule and proof of this when Red Sox Nation btches and moans about 1000 years of suffering to ESPN 2020 (I postulate they will have 3000 channels by then).
d) OK OK it’s just all wishful thinking, but its very annoying to listen to whiners become winners who whine about not winning enough anymore and winning so much spending so much money whining about winning when the very team they used to hate for winning so much spending so much money is now the team they have become, winning only with just as much whining.
2 ) an APB should be put out for the Mavericks’ fragile psyche. After their collapse in the finals to the Heat, and now to the Warriors in the 1st round, it will be left to wonder if they can recover and take that final step.
3) Kevin Durant will be exciting to watch as he auditions to be the star of the future Las Vegas Blackjacks (would be the perfect name for a team huh?)
4) the Spurs will win the championship this year again, making their first back-to-back title for three reasons:
a) their core and bench players essentially all return
b) Ime Udoka. this small forward traded to the Spurs from Portland will be the heir-apparent to Bruce Bowen. As a 3 point specialist and an unsung hero/hustle player on the Trailblazers, he will make a huge splash this year being seasoned in the Spurs system as a role player that will benefit much from playing behind one of the game’s best defenders. A friend of mine who follows the Trailblazers closely has already vouched endlessly for Udoka and also praised/cursed the savvy of the Spurs in picking up the right pieces to help out an already strong squad.
c) Trades-like-this-show-why-San-Antonio-remain-favorites-and-
Minnesota-is-stupid-for-trading-Kevin-Garnett-and-making-trades-like-this.
-notice what ultimately happened to the Timberwolves’ new acquisition. a 2nd round pick is nothing to scoff at! Gilbert Arenas, Luke Walton, and Carlos Boozer are some of the few gems unearthed in the 2nd round.
Enjoy the season! and remember…Chicks dig cabbage!



At the collegiate amateur and professional level, basketball purists will attest that the combination of teamwork, crisp passing, vicious rebounding, aggressive defense, silky smooth shooting, ferocious blocks, and the ever popular spectacular dunks would leave hardcore fans and casual fans alike appreciating the subtle art of basketball, and ultimately yearning for more. Herein lies the problem. In the past 20 years, the advent of free agency, sports agents, and multi-million dollar shoe contracts have effectively strained the dynamic between team and individuality. The key thing to remember is that while NFL teams can cut a contract at any time, thereby precluding the assumption that most players will serve well to play hard to earn their money, NBA contracts are guaranteed; meaning someone like Grant Hill can sign 6 year 100 million dollar contracts, yet only play 200 games (not a lot considering there are 492 games in 6 full NBA seasons). I don’t know much about business, but a 6 year 100 million dollar investment that yields only 40% return of investment is not good. Now Grant Hill seems like a good person, he was a phenomenal player at Duke and with the Pistons early in his career. The key word is “was”. Nevertheless, the 2007 Suns seem to have picked up a vastly better bargain at the veteran mid-level exception of 1.8 million for one year compared to Orlando Magic’s unfortunate investment.

At the beginning of the season, I hastily proclaimed LSU, OU, and USC the class of the collegiate league, the cream of the crop, head and shoulders above the rest. Ready to anoint them, or “crown them” as Dennis Green would say, may have been a bit premature.

Recent Comments